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Dubai prices fall 23% in Q4 2008



Country:  Dubai, United Arab Emirates

22 January 2008

The average price of a property in Dubai depreciated by 23% in Q4 2008, with the price of villas falling further than apartments, according to a HSBC report. Nevertheless, property prices still appreciated 19% on an annual basis.

The emirate's once-booming residential property market has slowed drastically in recent months as a consequence of the global financial crisis.

The report states that average prices for villas in the emirate fell 30% from September, but were up 33% on an annual basis, while prices for apartments dropped 20% from September last year, but were up 16% year-on-year.

"The December 2008 data also points to a 23% decline from the September 2008 peak," it said.

"Transaction data also suggests some signs of distressed selling in Q4 2008. Our analysis of December data indicates there were a small number of units sold at prices that fell short of estimated construction costs," the report said.

Transaction volumes were down from the November 2008, but were healthy, it said.
In the first two weeks of January this year there were 1,782 transactions, up 6% from December 2008 and a 175% rise year-on-year.

"Typically, there is a one-month lag between sale and registration, which means that January 2009 data reflects December 2008 transactions. The pick-up in volumes is despite the number of holidays... during the month. We think this implies a recovery of liquidity within the market."    

Dubai property prices could fall as much as 60% in 2009 from their peaks last year, Shuaa Capital said on Sunday.

Rental rates for apartments and villas have been levelling off throughout 2008 with an average growth rate of 4% and 8% respectively, property services firm Asteco said in a recent report.



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